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In numbers: France's births, death and marriages in 2025

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Fewer babies, more elderly people, rising life expectancy... France has changed and is now at a demographic turning point, according to the national institute of statistics.

France now has 69.1 million inhabitants - 66.8 million in l'hexagone (mainland France) and 2.3 million in the French overseas territories, which include the Caribbean islands of Martinique and Guadeloupe and the South American territory of French Guiana.

Overall, France has seen positive immigration numbers in the past year - the difference between the number of people entering and leaving the country is estimated at +176,000.

The natural balance, meaning the difference between the number of births and deaths, is down. It currently stands at -6,000 people, a first since the end of the Second World War.

This contributes to a 0.01 percent decline in the total population.

Births in decline

In 2025, 645,000 babies were born - 2.1 percent fewer than the previous year - and also the lowest number in a single year since the end of the Second World War, for the fourth consecutive year.

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This decline is less pronounced than in 2024 (-2.8 percent) and 2023 (-6.6 percent), but it remains higher than the average annual decline between 2010 and 2022 (-1.3 percent).

In mainland France alone, 611,000 births were recorded in 2025, the lowest number since 1942.

Decline in fertility

The fertility rate continues its downward trend, it stands at 1.56 children per woman, after 1.61 in 2024 (1.53 after 1.58 in metropolitan France). This decline reflects a medium-term trend: the rate has been falling since 2010, when it stood at 2.02 children per woman in metropolitan France.

The same pattern is observed among men, with the fertility rate dropping to 1.56 children per man in 2025, compared with 1.61 in 2024.

READ ALSO: Does France really have the highest birth rate in Europe?✎ 

Older Parents

In 2025, the average age at childbirth continues to rise as it reaches 31.2 years for women, compared with 29.6 in 2005. The same trend is seen among men, with the average age at the birth of a child now 34.1 years, up from 32.6 in 2005.

Rising Deaths

Last year, 651,000 people died, an increase of 1.5 percent compared to 2024, following a 0.3 percent rise between 2023 and 2024. A severe flu epidemic in January and episodes of extreme heat during the summer contributed to this increase, which fits a medium-term trend.

Since 2011, the number of deaths has been gradually rising due to the ageing of the baby-boom generations, those born between 1946 and 1974.

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Higher Life Expectancy

In 2025, life expectancy at birth reached 85.9 years for women and 80.3 years for men, a “historically high” level.

Since the mid-1990s, life expectancy has been increasing but it has been growing more slowly for women than for men, reducing the gap between the sexes. It is now 5.6 years, down from 8.1 years in 1995.

As a result of falling birth rates and rising life expectancy, people aged 65 and over are now almost as numerous as those under 20, respectively representing 22.2 percent and 22.5 percent of the population.

In 2006, only 16.4 percent of the population was aged 65 and over, while 25.1 percent were under 20.

READ ALSO: MAP: Where in France do people have the longest life expectancy?✎

More Marriages and Civil Partnerships

In 2025, the number of marriages in France is estimated at 251,000 - of which 244,000 were between opposite-sex couples and 7,000 between same-sex couples. This represents an increase of 1.4 percent compared with the previous year, following a 2.7 percent rise between 2023 and 2024.

Before the COVID-19 health crisis, the general trend for marriages had been going down, states INSEE.

In 2024, 197,200 civil partnerships (PACS) were registered - 186,800 between opposite-sex couples and 10,400 between same-sex couples - a number that remained almost unchanged from the previous year.

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HSBC to pay €267.5 million in France over tax fraud claim

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British-based bank HSBC has agreed to pay a €267.5 million fine to settle French claims over alleged dividend tax fraud, a widespread inquiry targeting several large banks, an AFP reporter confirmed Thursday.

The $312 million deal with French financial prosecutors, which sees the bank avoid further prosecution, was approved by a judge at a Paris court.

The case is part of investigations sparked by a massive fraud carried out for years in several European countries, revealed by a consortium of European news outlets in 2018.

The financial prosecutor's office launched in December 2021 inquiries into six large banks, which a source close to the case confirmed as HSBC, a Credit Agricole unit Cacib, BNP Paribas and its Exane unit, Societe Generale and Natixis.

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The fraud, known as "CumCum", involves an investor selling shares to another party just before dividend payment day, to avoid paying taxes, and then immediately repurchasing the shares, with both parties sharing the illicit proceeds.

It was exposed alongside a similar "Cum-ex" dividend tax fraud published by the media consortium in 2018.

Banks are suspected of acting as intermediaries in the practice and even charging a commission to the investors taking part.

"HSBC acknowledges the facts as they have been presented," the bank's representative said during the hearing.

The bank later welcomed the deal, saying it "recognises the bank's cooperation in the inquiry, and the corrective measures taken to rectify the past problems".

Credit Agricole's Cacib was the first to accept a deal with French prosecutors, agreeing to pay €88 million in September.

In December 2022, a German court sentenced lawyer Hanno Berger, believed to be the mastermind of the "Cum-ex" scheme, which reportedly siphoned off €140 billion over some 20 years, to eight years in prison.

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Trump’s Regime Change in Venezuela - WSJ

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  • Operation: The piece reports that President Trump ordered the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro during a nighttime raid after a prolonged standoff.
  • Justification: It states the move served as “hemispheric hygiene” to remove a dictator accused of spreading mayhem and undermining regional stability.
  • Opposing forces: Maduro resisted U.S. offers to depart peacefully, prompting Trump to deploy a naval flotilla and execute the operation without American casualties.
  • Charges: The text notes Maduro and his wife were transported to New York to face narco-trafficking trials.
  • Regional impact: Maduro’s socialist and authoritarian governance is blamed for producing millions of refugees and using migration to sow discord.
  • Alliances: Maduro is linked to an axis with Russia, China, Cuba, and Iran, and his capture is framed as enforcing a “Trump corollary” to the Monroe Doctrine.
  • Legal and political framing: The editorial defends the intervention despite leftist criticisms of international law violations and lack of Congressional approval, citing national security latitude.
  • Future outlook: The piece emphasizes the need for nation-building, a new election, and continuing U.S. deterrence resurgence perceived to threaten adversaries including Cuba.


By

The Editorial Board

Updated Jan. 3, 2026 6:09 pm ET

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WSJ Opinion: The Trump Year in Foreign Policy

WSJ Opinion: The Trump Year in Foreign PolicyPlay video: WSJ Opinion: The Trump Year in Foreign Policy

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Journal Editorial Report: An active President covered a lot of ground.

President Trump’s capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro early Saturday is an act of hemispheric hygiene against a dictator who spread mayhem far and wide. Whether he admits it or not, Mr. Trump is now in the business of regime change that he’ll have to make a success.

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Opinion: Potomac Watch

WSJ Opinion Potomac WatchZohran Mamdani Promises NYC 'the Warmth of Collectivism'

New York's mayor uses his inaugural address to insist he won't back away from socialism, including freezing rent and providing free buses, as he's sworn into office by Bernie Sanders. But will Mamdani be able to deliver, and at what cost? And will other Democrats follow his lead in shifting the party further to the left?Read Transcript

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The stunning nighttime raid is the culmination of a showdown that was building for months as Mr. Trump sent a naval flotilla to the Caribbean. Mr. Maduro resisted U.S. offers to leave peacefully, and Mr. Trump followed through on his threat and ousted the despot. The U.S. President had to act or lose credibility with the world after choosing the face-off. Pulling it off without American casualties is remarkable.

***

Mr. Trump said Mr. Maduro and his wife were headed to New York, where they will face trial for narco-trafficking. But Mr. Maduro’s damage goes well beyond the drug trade. His socialist and authoritarian policies burdened the region with millions of refugees. He flooded the U.S. with migrants in an effort to sow political discord.

The dictator was also part of the axis of U.S. adversaries that includes Russia, China, Cuba and Iran. All were helping to keep Mr. Maduro in power. His capture is a demonstration of Mr. Trump’s declaration to keep America’s enemies from spreading chaos in the Western Hemisphere. It’s the “Trump corollary” to the Monroe Doctrine.

All of this makes the military action justified, despite cries from the left that it is illegal under international law. Mr. Maduro stole last year’s presidential election after he lost in a rout. He barred popular opposition leader Maria Corina Machado from the ballot, and the candidate who took her place won and then went into exile to avoid arrest. The critics want to praise Ms. Machado’s courage while doing nothing to help the Venezuelan people.

As for gripes that Mr. Trump is acting without Congressional approval, the Constitution gives broad leeway to executive action on national security. George H.W. Bush deposed dictator Manuel Noriega in Panama in 1989 without a vote in Congress. Mr. Maduro is a greater threat than Noriega, and Venezuela is at least as important to U.S. security. Democrats are criticizing Mr. Trump so they can pounce if the operation runs into trouble.

All of which raises the stakes for what comes next. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stressed Saturday that this was at core a “law enforcement” operation to arrest the Maduros, which sounds like a dodge to avoid saying this is about regime change or a U.S. occupation. But when Mr. Trump says “we are going to run the country now,” this means an occupation that requires nation rebuilding for some duration.

Mr. Trump is right that simply snatching Mr. Maduro and leaving the country to fend for itself could produce Maduro II. But we won’t be the only ones to say the President owes George W. Bush an apology for his ex post facto criticism of U.S. intervention in Iraq and Afghanistan. Mr. Trump is pursuing the Bush freedom agenda, at least in the Western Hemisphere. Are we all neocons now?

On the near-term future, Mr. Trump was cagey. Perhaps that’s prudent since there may be members of the Maduro military, backed by Cuba, who want to run a terrorist insurgency against U.S. forces or advisers in the country. Mr. Rubio may be trying to persuade a large part of the military to back a new government not run by Maduro henchmen.

But it is odd that Mr. Trump was so dismissive of Ms. Machado in his Saturday press conference. He said she lacks the “respect” or support of the people of Venezuela, but who else has more? She risked her life to challenge Mr. Maduro, organized and rallied the opposition to win an election, and bravely stayed in Venezuela where she risked arrest or worse.

Mr. Trump also talked about “the oil” far too much, which sends a message that the U.S. purpose is largely mercenary. Venezuela will benefit if U.S. oil companies modernize the country’s decrepit oil production facilities. But the U.S. doesn’t need Venezuelan oil.

***

Sooner rather than later, Venezuela needs another election. The greatest benefit of a democratic, pro-American Venezuela is what it means for freedom and stability in the region. The left has had a 20-year heyday in the Americas that has done great harm to its people and allowed deep inroads by China. A reversal is under way in Argentina, Chile, Ecuador and Bolivia, and a right turn in Venezuela would continue the hopeful trend.

Mr. Trump’s willingness to depose Mr. Maduro is also another step in the revival of U.S. deterrence from its collapse under Barack Obama and Joe Biden. The overall message to our adversaries is salutary. If Mr. Trump can succeed in nation building in Venezuela, the Castro coterie in Cuba may want to start looking for some other place to live.

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Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro onboard the USS Iwo Jima as posted to President Donald Trump’s Truth Social account. Handout/US President Donald Trump's TRUTH Social account/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

Copyright ©2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8


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URGENT: As fraud allegations spiral, Minnesota governor Tim Walz quits his reelection bid

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X for the win.

Just 10 days ago, a 23-year-old citizen journalist named Nick Shirley posted a video of empty state-funded “daycare centers” run by Somali immigrants across Minnesota.

Abuse of government programs by Somalis in Minnesota is not a new story. Yet the video became a national sensation. Shirley captured the brazenness of the apparent fraud, and the video has now been viewed 138 million times on X.

By this weekend, Minnesota governor Tim Walz was calling Shirley a “delusional conspiracy theorist” on X. News flash: if you are the governor of a state with almost 6 million people and you’re arguing with a 23-year-old online, you’ve already lost.

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This morning Walz announced he was dropping his bid for a third term as Minnesota governor, a move that would have been unthinkable even a month ago.

In 2022, Walz won reelection by almost 8 percentage points; in 2024, he ran alongside Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee for vice-president. No politician has seen his career blow up this fast since… well, since Joe Biden had to quit his own presidential campaign.

(Timmmmber!)

Walz was always an absurd figure, a wannabe war hero who dodged service in Iraq.

He was Harris’s white male equivalent, a mediocrity picked to run for national office because of his race and gender. His refusal to call out Minnesota’s National Guard quickly during the 2020 George Floyd riots encouraged widespread looting and arson.

Still, the speed of his collapse is stunning, and proof of the confluence of three powerful political and media trends:

  • Anger over unchecked immigration, which is growing, not shrinking, as the Trump Administration proves the Biden White House and Democrats could have effectively shut down migration at any time from 2021 to 2024 and instead allowed and even encouraged it.

  • The realization that waste and outright fraud in quasi-welfare programs, particularly those administered by blue states but backstopped by the federal government, has reached massive levels. A federal prosecutor in Minnesota suggested that it might be $9 billion in that state alone in the last few years, or $1,500 per resident, in just a handful of Medicaid programs. That estimate suggests that hundreds of billions of dollars might have been wasted or stolen in New York, California, and other states.

  • The rise of X as an outlet for citizen journalism, particularly on stories that conservatives favor and liberals would rather ignore (like the two above).

What happens next? Time will tell, but all three of those forces only seem to be becoming more powerful.

And so Walz’s reckoning feels like the beginning, not the end, of a trend.

(To read the archives, including last year’s piece about Walz’s National Guard adventures…)

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Just how insane did Democrats become on immigration?

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Almost six years ago, Democrats published the world’s longest political suicide note — their 2020 election platform on immigration.

CREATING A 21ST CENTURY IMMIGRATION SYSTEM has now vanished from the Democratic Party Website. But the Internet is forever, and the archived document remains easily findable. It makes a fascinating read.

In almost 2,000 words, the platform does not mention “border security” once. It does use the word “illegal” — referring to “President Trump’s illegal, chaotic, and reckless changes” to immigration. “Undocumented” comes up once too, in a promise to offer citizenship to “millions of undocumented workers, caregivers, students, and children.”

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Among the platform’s other high notes:

We will protect and expand the existing asylum system and other humanitarian protections… Democrats will end Trump Administration policies that deny protected entry to asylum seekers… we will end prosecution of asylum seekers at the border and policies that force them to apply from “safe third countries,” which are far from safe.

We will also eliminate unfair barriers to naturalization…

Democrats believe family unity should be a guiding principle for our immigration policy. We will prioritize family reunification for children still separated from their families…

[W]e will end workplace and community raids. We will protect sensitive locations like our schools, houses of worship, health care facilities, benefits offices, and DMVs [Note: this may be the first time anyone has ever called a DMV office a “sensitive” place] from immigration enforcement actions…

We believe detention should be a last resort, not the default. Democrats will prioritize investments in more effective and cost-efficient community-based alternatives…

(You want reckless? We’ll give you reckless!)

(SOURCE)

In other words: Come on in. The water’s fine.

The platform promises an interlocking series of guarantees and policy changes that would not merely reduce but as a practical matter end any restrictions against immigration, legal or otherwise.

Basically, the Democratic Party vowed that if it ran the federal government, it would open American borders to anyone and everyone in the world who could reach them.

The asylum promises were especially important.

As even the “American Immigration Council” — which despite its anodyne name is funded by immigration lawyers and relentlessly pushes open borders — has explained:

Since the second term of the Obama administration, however, U.S. asylum policy has become hopelessly entangled with border management. As part of global displacement challenges, many more people than ever before started coming to the United States to request asylum; at the same time, those people came from places beyond Mexico and had more complex needs than the working-age adults who had made up most migration in the past.

“More complex needs” is a polite way to say “people uninterested in working.”

The Democratic platform explicitly encouraged those arrivals. All they had to do was make an asylum claim, with or without credible evidence. How could border officials possibly check their stories? At that point they would be allowed in — and would not face any meaningful enforcement, ever.

Given these incentives, it is no surprise immigrant caravans started moving north only weeks after Election Day in 2020 — even before Joe Biden was officially sworn in.

And the flood continued, as migrants very quickly realized the Democrats had meant every word. They understood they would be greeted with open arms — and checkbooks. An increasingly professionalized industry of smugglers emerged to organize and transport them.

Supply creates its own demand, whatever the product.

In January 2023, the Biden Administration took the inevitable final step, a creating what it called a “Humanitarian Parole Program.” The plan allowed in another 360,000 migrants a year from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela without even requiring them to reach the southern border or have any legal basis for admission. If they could afford a plane ticket and find someone — anyone — in the United States to sponsor them, they could fly in.

The goal of the Bidenites was nakedly political. They hoped to make the border look better. But as a practical matter the program eliminated the last barrier to entry — that would-be migrants physically arrive at the border. Even the 2020 Democratic platform hadn’t (explicitly) gone that far.

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How the Democrats got to this point is its own story, and worth exploring. So is the question of what happens next.

But for now it is simply worth understanding that the collapse of any immigration restrictions was a feature, not a bug. Nearly 10 million people came to the United States under the Biden Administration — the largest surge either in raw numbers or as a percentage of the population at least since the Civil War.

The only surprise is that the total wasn’t even higher.

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Somalis gonna Somali

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Nairobi, Kenya, December 2011:

I am in Kenya to research my seventh John Wells novel, The Night Ranger. Wells is chasing American missionaries taken into the bush by Somali mercenaries. It’s a change of pace for him, lower stakes than his usual. It will turn out to be one of my favorite novels.

I have visited a vast Somali refugee camp in northern Kenya and the Indian Ocean coast, where Somali kidnappers have recently captured and killed several Europeans.

Now I am back in Nairobi, talking about the problem of Somalia, which Kenyans face up close. Kenya is mostly Christian. Somalis are Muslim — and poor even by African standards. Further, Kenya needs Western safari tourism for jobs and cash. The kidnappings have not helped. Kenyans would rather keep their neighbors out. But the United Nations and aid groups have given them little choice (oh, the irony; poor countries hate open borders even more than rich ones).

Anyway, I am having drinks at a hotel talking about Somalia with (white) non-governmental aid workers — they live well, these NGO types. And one says:

Here’s what you need to know about Somalia. It’s on the ocean, right? [Somalia has the longest coastline in Africa, almost 2,000 miles.] But most Somalis, they can’t swim, can’t fish, they have no interest in the water. That’s how inward-facing they are, how tribal.

The words stuck with me. And 14 years later, they help explain the multi-billion dollar Somali corruption scandal in Minnesota, which has exploded into one of the biggest stories of 2025.

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The Somalis are tribal, but they are not alone.

It is impossible to understand the massive chunk of the world that runs from Morocco 4,000 miles east to Pakistan and south across Africa without realizing the importance of tribes. This area covers nearly two billion people, mostly Muslim — but including hundreds of millions of Christians too. It is mostly poor, but it also has the wealthy Gulf Arab nations.

What it shares more than anything is a commitment to tribe as the center of identity. In Arab and Muslim countries, cousin marriage helps sustain tribal identity; marriages between cousins account for two-thirds of all marriages in Pakistan and nearly as many in some Arab countries.

(Consanguinity = Cousin marriage. Because if you can’t keep it in your pants… keep it in the family!)

SOURCE

Rates are somewhat lower in Somalia, because marriages help bind “clans” — not just already closely-related families — to each other.

Still, as a book on marriage in Arab and African countries explains:

Overall, in the course of the marriage process in Somalia and Djibouti collective interests are put before the interests of the two individuals getting married.

I do not think most Americans can easily wrap their heads around how foreign these cultures really are to our way of thinking.

A society that does not even allow its members to choose their husbands or wives has a very different structure than Western societies that focus on individual rights — and the rule of law.

Yes, in both the West and tribal societies, the family is the core unit, which may be why Westerners haven’t seen this difference as clearly as they should.

But in the West, each family is effectively independent. More powerful groupings are political, not familial, organized by population size and geography — cities, counties, states, nations.

In tribal societies, families stack together to gain power, which is why cousin marriage matters so much. Me against my cousin, me and my cousin against our second-cousin neighbors, our extended family against yours, all under the leadership of a clan leader. The clans may share territory, but not political leadership.

In the West, nation-states gather legitimacy from (at least theoretically) providing all citizens equal justice under the law.

Tribal societies do not have a similar overarching philosophical foundation. They work in practice as tribes compete and cooperate, sometimes in relatively calm equilibrium, sometimes under the autocratic leadership of the strongest tribe and its chiefs.

And sometimes in open conflict, up to and including civil war, like the wars that wracked Somalia for decades.

When individual families from tribal societies come to Western countries, they have little choice but to adopt Western stacking mechanisms — to accept the rule of law and the authority of independent political jurisdictions. Plenty of individual Somalis have done just that.

But when they come en masse, as the Somali immigrants of Minnesota did, they may try to keep their tribal structures at least partly intact. In November, the independent newspaper County Highway ran an extraordinary piece about the Somali fraud in Minnesota explaining how easily the community had reestablished itself along clan lines:

The community is the result not of a voluntary movement of ambitious people seeking a new life in America, but of the US-government’s mass resettlement of entire families at once…

The Somalis brought the language, culture, and complex clan system of their shattered homeland to Minnesota… the cultural forces that allowed Somalis to resume a version of their prior lives also had the effect of walling them off from other Minnesotans.

“The historic Somali society is a kind of Janus-faced society,” explained Ahmed Samatar, a political scientist at Macalister College in Saint Paul and the founding editor-in-chief of Bildhaan: An International Journal of Somali Studies, at his skylit campus office. “On one side there is the intimacy of the local community, the family subgroup and kin group. Here there is mutuality and responsibility and respect… But the civic culture was not part of that tradition.”

(John Wells rides again.)

SOURCE

In other words, many Somalis believe they owe their tribes hard work, integrity, and honesty.

Their tribes, and no one else.

So when Minnesota’s Democrats decided to drop any guiderails and effectively open federally financed programs to mass looting (a decision both overtly cynical and weirdly naive), a stunning number of Somalis took advantage.

As County Highway explained:

The fraud spread so widely and quickly that it appeared to have no real architect… gallop[ing] through the Somali community, which kept the secret from non-Somali Minnesota with ironclad discipline. The clan system acted as both pathway and protection for the fraud…

Through every fraud case, the Somali community displayed what Professor Samatar described as “the solidarity of thieves.” Bad actors within the community would approach potential coconspirators without any fear of betrayal.

Honor among thieves!

No, not every Somali in Minnesota can be blamed for this fraud.

But that doesn’t mean that the decision to accept large numbers of immigrants en masse from a tribal society didn’t set the stage for it. Europe has seen a similar crisis with Syrian and Afghan refugees in the last decade, though Europe has faced more violence because it has taken in so many young single men.

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The post-1965 wave of immigration to the United States has now ended.

President Trump has proven the Democratic argument that the United States could not maintain its borders was a lie. He has proven that with reasonable and politically tolerable steps, new illegal immigration can be reduced nearly to zero.

For a least a couple of Presidential cycles, I doubt any serious Democratic candidate will call for allowing mass waves of unskilled migrants (whether illegal or through dubious programs like the ones the Biden Administration concocted).

At some point, though - maybe in a decade, maybe a generation — the pendulum will swing again, and the United States will be ready to accept large numbers of immigrants once more.

When it does, I hope it remembers the lessons of the last decade — and does not let in large groups from tribal societies, encouraging them to recreate their clans en masse on American soil.

We cannot be certain all our new immigrants will accept the ideal of America.

But we can do our best to be sure they do not arrive with fragmented allegiances.

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